Serie A title race probabilities 2026/27
Serie A title race probabilities for the 2026/27 season: title chance, UCL chance, relegation risk, and expected points.
| Club | Title % | UCL % | Relegation % | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter Milan | 36.6% | 85.0% | 0.0% | 75.0 |
| AS Roma | 25.2% | 80.8% | 0.0% | 73.0 |
| Lazio | 16.6% | 68.8% | 0.0% | 70.5 |
| Como | 13.0% | 64.6% | 0.0% | 70.0 |
| AC Milan | 6.0% | 48.0% | 0.0% | 67.0 |
| Juventus | 2.0% | 24.4% | 0.0% | 62.0 |
| Napoli | 0.4% | 11.6% | 0.6% | 57.0 |
| Bologna | 0.2% | 7.2% | 0.6% | 57.0 |
| Atalanta | 0.0% | 4.6% | 1.4% | 53.0 |
| Frosinone | 0.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 52.0 |
| Cagliari | 0.0% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 52.0 |
| Torino | 0.0% | 0.8% | 7.2% | 48.0 |
| Genoa | 0.0% | 0.2% | 6.4% | 47.0 |
| Fiorentina | 0.0% | 0.4% | 13.0% | 46.0 |
| Parma Calcio 1913 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 29.4% | 41.0 |
| Sassuolo | 0.0% | 0.0% | 32.2% | 41.0 |
| Lecce | 0.0% | 0.0% | 34.4% | 40.0 |
| Udinese | 0.0% | 0.0% | 48.2% | 38.0 |
| Monza | 0.0% | 0.0% | 62.4% | 35.0 |
| Venezia | 0.0% | 0.0% | 61.4% | 35.0 |
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