Championship title race probabilities 2026/27
Championship title race probabilities for the 2026/27 season: title chance, promotion chance, relegation risk, and expected points.
| Club | Title % | Promotion % | Relegation % | Expected points |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton | 26.0% | 75.0% | 0.0% | 79.0 |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers | 19.8% | 69.6% | 0.0% | 77.0 |
| Middlesbrough | 14.6% | 62.8% | 0.0% | 76.0 |
| West Ham United | 14.4% | 64.0% | 0.4% | 75.0 |
| Birmingham City | 8.6% | 48.6% | 0.0% | 72.0 |
| West Bromwich Albion | 4.4% | 38.4% | 0.2% | 71.0 |
| Stoke City | 2.4% | 30.0% | 0.6% | 69.0 |
| Swansea City | 3.0% | 32.8% | 0.2% | 69.0 |
| Norwich City | 1.4% | 15.0% | 1.8% | 65.0 |
| Queens Park Rangers | 0.4% | 14.0% | 2.0% | 65.0 |
| Sheffield United | 0.8% | 11.6% | 2.8% | 63.0 |
| Portsmouth | 0.6% | 8.4% | 4.0% | 61.0 |
| Wrexham | 0.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 61.0 |
| Millwall | 0.4% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 61.0 |
| Blackburn Rovers | 0.0% | 3.2% | 6.2% | 60.0 |
| Bolton Wanderers | 0.0% | 3.2% | 12.6% | 59.0 |
| Bristol City | 0.0% | 1.6% | 13.2% | 57.0 |
| Cardiff City | 0.0% | 0.4% | 15.2% | 56.0 |
| Lincoln City | 0.4% | 2.4% | 14.6% | 56.0 |
| Burnley | 0.0% | 1.0% | 25.8% | 54.0 |
| Charlton Athletic | 0.0% | 1.4% | 24.2% | 54.0 |
| Watford | 0.0% | 0.0% | 33.0% | 52.0 |
| Derby County | 0.0% | 0.2% | 55.8% | 48.0 |
| Preston North End | 0.0% | 0.0% | 76.2% | 43.0 |
The full league page requires signup.